Rand Paul masquerades free market dogma for energy policy

March 14th, 2010

I generally agree with U.S. Senate candidate Rand Paul on a number of key issues.  That said, the stereotypical and empirically false dogma flowing from his campaign--not to mention his voluntary association with dolt Sarah Palin--has soured me on supporting his election.

Rand is promoting the idea that the "free market" is the solution to everything.  His message is ideologically pure, which makes it sufficiently simple to appeal to a mass audience.  The problem is that the feasibility of a solution to any real world problem tends to be inversely proportional to its ideological purity.  "Free market" demagogues are incapable or unwilling to separate simplified, academic models of markets from real markets.  Consider:

  • Academic model of competition: Competition is good for consumers and drives innovation!  Regulations hinder competition and results in higher prices for consumers.
  • Real world: As markets mature, they come to be dominated by a few major players who collude and exhibit cartel-like behavior.  They erect huge, if not insurmountable, barriers to entry and engage in a host of other anticompetitive practices.

For example, Microsoft started giving away Internet Explorer to put Netscape out of business.  Under-capitalized startups with brilliant ideas lose to or are acquired by multinational corporations with billions in the bank, or they are relegated to permanent niche status.  An exception is the creation of new industries; for example, Google and internet advertising.  I'm sure you can find other exceptions to my generalization, but they are just that--exceptions.

Keeping in mind the above and the fact that Rand has no first hand knowledge of the energy industry (I do), let's explore some of Rand's statements about "Energy Innovation."

Washington’s bureaucratic regulations, corporate subsidies, and excessive taxation have made it virtually impossible for the market to produce new forms of cheap and clean energy.

The dirty energy is the cheap energy.  Exxon is the biggest, most profitable company in the world.  They will continue not to have much of an incentive to profit from anything other than oil unless doing what they are already doing becomes much more expensive for them.  Deregulating and lowering their taxes moves in the opposite direction.  Ending subsidies contradicts the other two points and makes no sense in the context.

Also note that "the market" does not produce anything.  People produce things.  This choice of wording subtly demonstrates Rand's deification of an abstract concept.

Like all other sectors of the economy, allowing businesses and ideas to compete on the free market will not only produce the most efficient forms of energy, but will also pass along the savings to the consumer.

This is dogma at its finest.  It is a flight of fancy oblivious to empirical contradictions.  I work for an energy conglomerate at a generating station which supplies electricity into a "deregulated" market.

What is a deregulated energy market?

In the latter half of the 19th century, competing utility companies where frequently digging up the streets to bury pipes for transporting water, gas, and wire for electricity.  At some point, prudent, reasonable people realized that having the conduits for competitors running side by side all over the place was an assininely inefficient public nuisance, and they created regulated utility monopolies.

Fast forward to the present.  If you live in a regulated market, you have one company generating your electricity at various sites and supplying it to you via one electrical grid.  That company owns the generation and transmission assets.

If you live in a "deregulated" market, one company still owns the grid, but it does not necessarily own any of the generating facilities.  The generating station at which I work is one of a handful getting paid by the owner of the transmission lines to put electricity into the grid.  If you said, "Doesn't that mean that the grid owner is still a monopoly?" the answer is, "Yes!"  Furthermore, the grid owner now takes on the role of a lead firm which can demand cheaper electricity from suppliers because the grid is the generators' only customer.

What's the bottom line?

In the "deregulated" market in which I live, prices have not decreased.  Customers, via their billing statement, can opt to use one type of generation instead of another--for example, gas instead of nuclear--but who actually does that?  Most people just want the cheapest rate.  If you look at your bill, the electricity is already inexpensive.  The bulk of the bill is delivery costs, and delivery has no competition for obvious practical reasons.

I will vote to cut taxes and lift regulations on companies developing new sources of energy.

Who does that help?  The nuclear industry is heavily regulated--exactly as it should be.  Will Rand vote to lift regulations on profit driven facilities with the potential for accidents that could render large tracts of land unusable for thousands of years?  I like having limits on the amount of mercury coal plants can dump into what becomes my drinking water.  Etcetera, etcetera.  Most regulations exist for very good reasons.

But this does not mean that I want to take taxpayer money to subsidize them. Any energy source that really meets the needs of the American consumer would not need the government to subsidize it. Just as we don’t subsidize laptops and iPods, we should not be subsidizing solar and wind power.

Subsidies make consumers' end price lower, not higher.  If the government cuts subsidies for the petroleum industry, for example, consumers will simply pay more at the pump to make up the difference.  The root problem is that consumers don't really have any alternatives to using gasoline, so the three or four companies dominating the market can charge whatever they want, within reason.

Coal and nuclear generation produces vastly more energy than any other source for the same land area.  If you don't subsidize cleaner energy sources, they may never be able to compete with older, dirtier sources on the basis of price alone.  Do you want clean energy and its associated benefits, or do you want a "free market?"  Everybody cares about the environment in a survey; most people won't actually pay three times as much for electricity when they can get it cheaper.  That is why government intervention might be necessary to establish a viable alternative energy industry.

Comparing energy, which is a prerequisite for modern society, to pure luxury goods, like iPods, is a fallacy of irrelevance, otherwise known as "apples to oranges."

Conclusion

Rand is playing buzzword bingo: free market, subsidies, deregulation, lobbyists.  He does not actually offer any concrete proposals for a viable course of action in response to a very serious problem.

Should you join the nuclear Navy? (NUPOC)

December 31st, 2009

Perhaps you, or somebody for whom you care, is considering joining the nuclear Navy.  You might already have heard the recruiters promising the world.  I will provide you with one objective critique of the "nuke" experience in terms of what the Navy promises versus what it delivers.

Author and Army veteran John T. Reed inspired me to write this with his article, "Should you go to, or stay at, West Point?"  Mr. Reed's observations about the Army are utterly relevant to the Navy.  Peruse his article if you have time.

At the age of 20, I committed to serve in the U.S. Navy via the NUPOC delayed commissioning program.  I attended OCS a month after graduating from college, received a commission as an ensign (O-1), served on active duty for 5.5 years, and honorably left active duty as a lieutenant (O-3).  I worked on a Los Angeles class fast attack submarine home ported at Pearl Harbor, HI for about 3 years of my active duty experience, which included a 2003 deployment to the Persian Gulf and Indian Ocean.  The rest of my time was training and shore based work (a.k.a. "shore tour").

My following analysis of what the Navy nuclear program promises to do for you is based on claims presented on the Navy's recruiting websites and my personal recollections of interacting with recruiters.  If you are thinking about going the enlisted route, my comments should generally still be relevant, although I highly recommend speaking with somebody who already served as an enlisted nuke.  Give no weight to second hand information from spouses and mothers or from promises coming from people still in the military about what service in the program will do for them after they get out.

The Sales Pitch Reality
The Navy's nuclear program is an elite nuclear engineering program. FALSE. You will not research or design anything while in the Navy, which is contrary to what the word engineering implies to a student. The recruiters technically aren't lying because the broader, post-academic use of engineering includes what nukes actually do, but the recruiters know they are misleading you.

The Navy will train you to be a nuclear operator. If you want to be a nuclear engineer, get a relevant engineering degree, and go to work for a reactor manufacturer, such as General Electric or Westinghouse.

The program is challenging, but it is not as selective as it advertises. It only requires one semester of calculus and one semester of calculus based physics. I interviewed with the Director of Naval Nuclear Propulsion, a four star admiral, with a group of around 20 people.  The admiral only declined one interviewee. During my time in the Navy, the nuclear community was actually over-manned with junior officers, so it can't be that selective.

Excitement!!! Being a Navy nuke is soooo exciting!!!! FALSE. There is no glory or excitement in nuclear operation. It is utterly monotonous, repetitive, and mind-numbing. In the nuclear world, boring is good.

A typical shift (standing “watch”) involves staring at meters and gauges, reviewing logs of those instruments' indications, listening to people complain about the Navy, listening to people discuss what they will do when they get out of the Navy, and little more.

You might think this is purely a matter of opinion. It isn't.  If you don't believe me, ask around. This experience is in no way unique to me or my former submarine.

You will do important work that makes the nation and world safer. HIGHLY DEBATABLE. I'll leave it at that.

You will certainly be told frequently, once you're in the military, that this statement is true.

You will be highly desirable to civilian industry after you leave the military. MISLEADING.  Some companies, such as General Electric, like recruiting former military officers. Note that I write “military officers” generally; not “Navy nuke officers” in particular.

I am aware of only one industry that specifically wants former Navy nukes—the commercial nuclear power industry, including supporting services. If you know for a fact right now that you want to climb the operations ladder at a civilian nuclear generating station, the Navy might be the way to go.

The idea that all, or even most, employers will crawl over each other to hire you because you were in the nuke program is unequivocally FALSE.  Employers look for directly relevant experience on your resume.  If it isn't there—and it probably isn't if you're trying to do something dissimilar from what you did in the military—you will most likely not be interviewed.

You will gain valuable leadership experience at a young age. TRUE-ish. The Navy delivered on its promise of putting me in charge of people at a young age.  However, I would not say that this equates to leadership.  What I really learned, mostly by trial and error, was the art of supervision.

Enlisted caveat: While this is a benefit for young officers, it is a detriment for enlisted submarine sailors.  Supervising reactor plant operations is primarily the role of the officers lowest in rank and seniority. This means that enlisted nuclear personnel constantly have to deal with the least experienced, least knowledgeable officers to get anything accomplished.

Driving a surfaced submarine is an amazing experience. TRUE. My best Navy memory is of the time I stood “Surfaced Officer of the Deck” as we approached Australia. The weather was great, and the water was calm. The continent was rising up in front of me. I hadn't been qualified to do this for very long, but at that moment it was just me, another guy serving as my lookout, and the $900M warship upon which I sat.

If only these types of things had occupied more than about 0.12% (literally) of my total time in the military . . . (sigh).

You will see the world. NOT GAURANTEED.  This is a crap shoot. When I deployed in 2003, the political climate did not favor us visiting many ports. Submarines also have special needs that prevent them from visiting some ports where surface ships or non-nuclear ships are free to dock.

In general, I recommend against joining any branch of the military to “see the world.” If you have the resources, check out the Semester at Sea. You will visit more of the world in a few months than you will visit in a decade of military service.

The pay is good. TRUE (by common standards). I earned more money than all of my college friends my first 5 years out of school. If I had stayed Navy and returned to Hawaii for another submarine tour, I would be earning solidly over $100k per year and paying only about 15% in taxes because a good chunk of military income is tax free.

By comparison, I'm paying about 34% in taxes now. That means I'm keeping about as much as during my later years in the Navy even though my pre-tax income is much higher. It has been a kick in the balls.

The NUPOC program also allowed me to exit college with zero debt and money in the bank. I'm very thankful for that. College debt is a serious problem for many 20- and even 30-somethings these days.

Keep in mind that money is only one factor you should consider. Military personnel tend to work very long hours. For much of my time in the Navy, I would have been happier to work half the time for half the money. How much is your life worth?

I hope you find this helpful.  If there is sufficient demand, I will address additional areas of concern.  In conclusion, here's a satirical video from The Onion that demonstrates exactly what the military is really like.  It's about the Army, but the Navy is the same (minus the combat).

Encrypt your IM and e-mail communications using open source software

October 18th, 2009

We all use e-mail now, and many of us use instant messaging services like YM or AIM.  Let's keep three things in mind:

  1. Popular e-mail services like Yahoo Mail, Gmail (Google), and Hotmail (Microsoft) are free because the providers retain on their servers everything you send and receive.  This includes anything with personal data, such as resumes.  They data mine everything to create marketing profiles of their users, which they are free to sell, and the servers are vulnerable to exploitation by hackers.  Digital storage is cheap, so nothing ever goes away.  You might one day have something you wrote years ago used against you.
  2. If you use wireless internet connections, plucking your data right out of thin air is pretty easy because you're broadcasting ordinary radio.  Anything not encrypted is plainly readable to interceptors.
  3. The government of the United States of America has already decided to ignore the 4th Amendment by asserting that spying on citizens without warrants is necessary for our "security."

"Any society that would give up a little liberty to gain a little security will deserve neither and lose both." --Ben Franklin

Fortunately, we can all take some easy steps to protect our privacy.

Instant Messaging

Two completely free, open source pieces of software are the only things necessary to protect your IM conversations.  The first is Pidgin, a universal chat client.  The second is the Off-the-Record plugin for Pidgin.

Pidgin is an application, not a service.  It does not require you to register for anything.  Pidgin enables all your chats to run in one application.  For example, if you IM on YM and AIM, you don't need a separate program running for each of them.  Pidgin does it all, and more.  You can try it out without deleting your other chat applications.  Download Pidgin, and install it.

Once you're up and running with Pidgin, you've done 99% of the work necessary to secure your IM conversations.  Complete the process with these two steps:

  1. On the "Logging" tab of Pidgin's preferences menu, disable logging if you do not have a need to be able to read past IM conversations.  It is on by default.  This step is optional, but encrypting your online conversations is less valuable if a complete transcript will be stored on the hard drive of any of the participants.
  2. Download the Off-the-Record plugin (OTR) for Pidgin.  Read the instructions on the website, enable the plugin from Pidgin's "plugin" menu, and configure it.  Ubuntu users should note the OTR likely was part of the default installation prior to version 9.10.  You might need only to turn it on.

That's it.  Whenever you chat with somebody else using OTR, you will have the opportunity to encrypt your data transfers, including files sent between chat clients.  You will also find that many people welcome the opportunity to chat securely and are willing to download this software to do it.  You can continue chatting as normal with people who do not use Pidgin or OTR.

E-mail security with GnuPG

"Perhaps you think your e-mail is legitimate enough that encryption is unwarranted.  If you really are a law-abiding citizen with nothing to hide, then why don't you always send your paper mail on postcards?  Why not submit to drug testing on demand?  Why require a warrant for police searches of your house?  Are you trying to hide something?"  --from "Why I wrote PGP" by Phil Zimmermann

Encrypting and digitally signing e-mail using PGP, an open standard for encryption, isn't much more difficult than encrypting your IMs.  Read the Wikipedia entry about PGP to get an idea about how it works, and then follow the steps below.  Everything you need is free, but you will need to register for a new e-mail account if Yahoo Mail is all you have now.

  1. Install, or verify you have installed, a mail client. For Windows users, I recommend Thunderbird, made by the company behind the popular Firefox web browser.  Linux users might have Evolution Mail, which also works well.  Outlook or Windows Mail do not integrate easily as described below.  Get Thunderbird, and save yourself the Microsoft hassle.
  2. Configure your mail client with your e-mail account, and verify that you can send and receive e-mail using your mail client. Here is how to configure Gmail.  You'll have to search the Windows Live website maze to find the right setting for Hotmail (search for "POP3").  Yahoo Mail offers the capability to read mail with a mail client only to paying subscribers, which includes about nobody.  If you have your own website, your host should provide information about how to check your e-mail, including mail client settings.
  3. Download and install Gnu Privacy Guard (GPG), the free, open source implementation of PGP.  Linux distributions, including Ubuntu, frequently come with Seahorse installed by default.  It you already have Seahorse and Evolution Mail, you have everything you need. (Windows, Mac, Linux)
  4. If you installed Thunderbird, install Enigmail.  This binds GPG to Thunderbird so you can use them seamlessly.  If you're using Seahorse, read that program's manual pages.

That's all the software you need.  Read the directions associated with the various components, and generate a public-private key pair for your e-mail addresses.  That's it.

One downside is that you must have access to your private key to read mail encrypted with your public key, and you will probably only keep your private key on your primary personal computer.  This is usually not a big problem, but keep it in mind if you need to receive e-mail while travelling.  Encrypted messages will look like gibberish if you read them with a web browser.

Also keep in mind that having a secure connection (https) to your webmail is not the same thing as encrypting your messages.  Anybody with access to your mail provider's servers, including employees and governments, can read your unencrypted messages, as can anybody along the delivery path once your message goes out unencrypted over the internet to the recipient's mail provider.  Also, the recipient is not guaranteed to have a secure connection with his or her mail provider, which introduces yet another privacy threat.

That's It

Please comment if you encounter problems following the steps in this article.